Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan combined with the shift toward northeasterly monsoon winds has introduced cooler, more stable air masses and increased cloud cover, supporting the market's 50% implied probability for a low of 19°C or below on September 7. These winds, typical after summer low-pressure systems, promote radiative cooling overnight and advection of milder maritime air, with Central Weather Administration guidance noting localized showers and gradual temperature moderation. Historical September lows average near 24–25°C, but current model consensus and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to any further wind strengthening or precipitation timing. Updated CWA forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 7 settembre?
19°C o inferiore 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C o inferiore
100%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C o superiore
35%
19°C o inferiore 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C o inferiore
100%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C o superiore
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan combined with the shift toward northeasterly monsoon winds has introduced cooler, more stable air masses and increased cloud cover, supporting the market's 50% implied probability for a low of 19°C or below on September 7. These winds, typical after summer low-pressure systems, promote radiative cooling overnight and advection of milder maritime air, with Central Weather Administration guidance noting localized showers and gradual temperature moderation. Historical September lows average near 24–25°C, but current model consensus and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to any further wind strengthening or precipitation timing. Updated CWA forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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