Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature of 20–22°C on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather, with northerly flow and moderate winds preventing sharper drops. Historical September normals near 19°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and the absence of clear skies support the market's emphasis on 21°C (52.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with nearby 20°C and 22°C bins reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of overnight hours represent key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 19 settembre?
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 23%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
23%
21°C
53%
22°C
23%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 23%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$51 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$583 Vol.
23%
21°C
$499 Vol.
53%
22°C
$1,923 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
26°C o superiore
$51 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature of 20–22°C on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather, with northerly flow and moderate winds preventing sharper drops. Historical September normals near 19°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and the absence of clear skies support the market's emphasis on 21°C (52.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with nearby 20°C and 22°C bins reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of overnight hours represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,209Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature of 20–22°C on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather, with northerly flow and moderate winds preventing sharper drops. Historical September normals near 19°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and the absence of clear skies support the market's emphasis on 21°C (52.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with nearby 20°C and 22°C bins reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of overnight hours represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,209Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature of 20–22°C on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather, with northerly flow and moderate winds preventing sharper drops. Historical September normals near 19°C provide context, yet current atmospheric moisture and the absence of clear skies support the market's emphasis on 21°C (52.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with nearby 20°C and 22°C bins reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of overnight hours represent key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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