Official MetService guidance for Wellington on September 18, 2026, centers on a fine day with light northwesterlies and a forecast overnight low of 8°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 14°C. Recent passage of a cool front has left drier air in place, but subtle differences in cloud timing and wind speeds across ensemble runs create genuine uncertainty between 6–8°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the official minimum threshold most heavily while discounting lower probabilities for stronger cooling or residual moisture that could limit the drop. Updated model guidance and post-sunset observations will likely refine resolution odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 18 settembre?
6°C 100%
7°C 92%
5°C 19%
4°C o inferiore 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
2%
5°C
19%
6°C
100%
7°C
92%
8°C
-
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C o superiore
<1%
6°C 100%
7°C 92%
5°C 19%
4°C o inferiore 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
5°C
$0 Vol.
19%
6°C
$30 Vol.
100%
7°C
$58 Vol.
92%
8°C
$66 Vol.
-
9°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService guidance for Wellington on September 18, 2026, centers on a fine day with light northwesterlies and a forecast overnight low of 8°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 14°C. Recent passage of a cool front has left drier air in place, but subtle differences in cloud timing and wind speeds across ensemble runs create genuine uncertainty between 6–8°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the official minimum threshold most heavily while discounting lower probabilities for stronger cooling or residual moisture that could limit the drop. Updated model guidance and post-sunset observations will likely refine resolution odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$280Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService guidance for Wellington on September 18, 2026, centers on a fine day with light northwesterlies and a forecast overnight low of 8°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 14°C. Recent passage of a cool front has left drier air in place, but subtle differences in cloud timing and wind speeds across ensemble runs create genuine uncertainty between 6–8°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the official minimum threshold most heavily while discounting lower probabilities for stronger cooling or residual moisture that could limit the drop. Updated model guidance and post-sunset observations will likely refine resolution odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$280Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService guidance for Wellington on September 18, 2026, centers on a fine day with light northwesterlies and a forecast overnight low of 8°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 14°C. Recent passage of a cool front has left drier air in place, but subtle differences in cloud timing and wind speeds across ensemble runs create genuine uncertainty between 6–8°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the official minimum threshold most heavily while discounting lower probabilities for stronger cooling or residual moisture that could limit the drop. Updated model guidance and post-sunset observations will likely refine resolution odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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