Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Zhengzhou's August 30 overnight low will center on 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, which favors modest radiative cooling after recent northerly surges lowered daytime highs below 30°C. This matches historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C while reflecting drier air and reduced cloud cover compared with earlier humid periods. Trader odds cluster tightly at 22°C and 23°C because model runs show minimal spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 20–21°C scenarios requiring stronger clearing or 24°C+ requiring more retained heat. Updated model guidance overnight and official station observations will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 30 agosto?
20°C 97%
18°C 94%
19°C 94%
22°C 50%
15°C o inferiore
33%
16°C
34%
17°C
35%
18°C
94%
19°C
94%
20°C
97%
21°C
48%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
48%
25°C o superiore
8%
20°C 97%
18°C 94%
19°C 94%
22°C 50%
15°C o inferiore
33%
16°C
34%
17°C
35%
18°C
94%
19°C
94%
20°C
97%
21°C
48%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
48%
25°C o superiore
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Zhengzhou's August 30 overnight low will center on 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, which favors modest radiative cooling after recent northerly surges lowered daytime highs below 30°C. This matches historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C while reflecting drier air and reduced cloud cover compared with earlier humid periods. Trader odds cluster tightly at 22°C and 23°C because model runs show minimal spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 20–21°C scenarios requiring stronger clearing or 24°C+ requiring more retained heat. Updated model guidance overnight and official station observations will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti