The US economic embargo on Cuba, reinforced by the Trump administration’s May 2026 executive order and subsequent designations targeting regime-linked entities in energy, finance, mining, and logistics, remains the dominant barrier. Multiple rounds of sanctions through August, including tightened oil restrictions and an August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities, continue to block US companies such as McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island. Cuban authorities approved domestic-trade reforms and foreign-franchise rules in June and August 2026, yet these measures require US licensing changes that have not occurred. Trader consensus at 92 percent “No” aligns with the absence of any McDonald’s announcement or policy shift capable of enabling one before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US economic embargo on Cuba, reinforced by the Trump administration’s May 2026 executive order and subsequent designations targeting regime-linked entities in energy, finance, mining, and logistics, remains the dominant barrier. Multiple rounds of sanctions through August, including tightened oil restrictions and an August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities, continue to block US companies such as McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island. Cuban authorities approved domestic-trade reforms and foreign-franchise rules in June and August 2026, yet these measures require US licensing changes that have not occurred. Trader consensus at 92 percent “No” aligns with the absence of any McDonald’s announcement or policy shift capable of enabling one before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,555Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US economic embargo on Cuba, reinforced by the Trump administration’s May 2026 executive order and subsequent designations targeting regime-linked entities in energy, finance, mining, and logistics, remains the dominant barrier. Multiple rounds of sanctions through August, including tightened oil restrictions and an August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities, continue to block US companies such as McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island. Cuban authorities approved domestic-trade reforms and foreign-franchise rules in June and August 2026, yet these measures require US licensing changes that have not occurred. Trader consensus at 92 percent “No” aligns with the absence of any McDonald’s announcement or policy shift capable of enabling one before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,555Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The US economic embargo on Cuba, reinforced by the Trump administration’s May 2026 executive order and subsequent designations targeting regime-linked entities in energy, finance, mining, and logistics, remains the dominant barrier. Multiple rounds of sanctions through August, including tightened oil restrictions and an August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities, continue to block US companies such as McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island. Cuban authorities approved domestic-trade reforms and foreign-franchise rules in June and August 2026, yet these measures require US licensing changes that have not occurred. Trader consensus at 92 percent “No” aligns with the absence of any McDonald’s announcement or policy shift capable of enabling one before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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