**US sanctions and the longstanding embargo continue to block American companies like McDonald's from commercial operations in Cuba.** Despite Cuban government reforms announced in June 2026 permitting foreign franchises and private restaurant chains, intensified US measures—including Executive Order 14404, secondary sanctions on entities tied to GAESA and other state-linked firms, and an oil blockade—have raised compliance risks and deterred investment. No McDonald's announcements or licensing steps have occurred, and the company maintains only a restricted presence inside the Guantánamo Bay naval base. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with any potential shift requiring changes in US policy or enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US sanctions and the longstanding embargo continue to block American companies like McDonald's from commercial operations in Cuba.** Despite Cuban government reforms announced in June 2026 permitting foreign franchises and private restaurant chains, intensified US measures—including Executive Order 14404, secondary sanctions on entities tied to GAESA and other state-linked firms, and an oil blockade—have raised compliance risks and deterred investment. No McDonald's announcements or licensing steps have occurred, and the company maintains only a restricted presence inside the Guantánamo Bay naval base. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with any potential shift requiring changes in US policy or enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,425Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US sanctions and the longstanding embargo continue to block American companies like McDonald's from commercial operations in Cuba.** Despite Cuban government reforms announced in June 2026 permitting foreign franchises and private restaurant chains, intensified US measures—including Executive Order 14404, secondary sanctions on entities tied to GAESA and other state-linked firms, and an oil blockade—have raised compliance risks and deterred investment. No McDonald's announcements or licensing steps have occurred, and the company maintains only a restricted presence inside the Guantánamo Bay naval base. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with any potential shift requiring changes in US policy or enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,425Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US sanctions and the longstanding embargo continue to block American companies like McDonald's from commercial operations in Cuba.** Despite Cuban government reforms announced in June 2026 permitting foreign franchises and private restaurant chains, intensified US measures—including Executive Order 14404, secondary sanctions on entities tied to GAESA and other state-linked firms, and an oil blockade—have raised compliance risks and deterred investment. No McDonald's announcements or licensing steps have occurred, and the company maintains only a restricted presence inside the Guantánamo Bay naval base. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with any potential shift requiring changes in US policy or enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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