Mexico's recent disinflation trend, with headline CPI easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June, underpins trader positioning for the 2026 annual average. Persistent but moderating core inflation near 4% has prompted Banxico to delay its 3% target convergence until late 2027, while holding the policy rate at 6.50%. This environment, combined with subdued energy prices and contained food costs, supports the market's heaviest weighting on the 3.50-3.99% band. Analysts' projections cluster around 3.0-3.5% for the full-year average, tempered by risks from potential tariff or tax policy effects and global commodity volatility that could push readings higher within the 3-4% range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMessico Inflazione annuale 2026
Messico Inflazione annuale 2026
3,50% a 3,99% 34.3%
3,00% a 3,49% 21.9%
4,00% a 4,49% 16%
4,50% a 4,99% 9%
$61,370 Vol.
$61,370 Vol.
8 gen 2027
<2,50%
1%
2,50% a 2,99%
5%
3,00% a 3,49%
22%
3,50% a 3,99%
34%
4,00% a 4,49%
16%
4,50% a 4,99%
9%
5,00% a 5,49%
7%
5,50%+
3%
3,50% a 3,99% 34.3%
3,00% a 3,49% 21.9%
4,00% a 4,49% 16%
4,50% a 4,99% 9%
$61,370 Vol.
$61,370 Vol.
8 gen 2027
<2,50%
$1,053 Vol.
1%
2,50% a 2,99%
$4,887 Vol.
5%
3,00% a 3,49%
$27,462 Vol.
22%
3,50% a 3,99%
$3,789 Vol.
34%
4,00% a 4,49%
$10,689 Vol.
16%
4,50% a 4,99%
$4,745 Vol.
9%
5,00% a 5,49%
$2,439 Vol.
7%
5,50%+
$6,305 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's recent disinflation trend, with headline CPI easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June, underpins trader positioning for the 2026 annual average. Persistent but moderating core inflation near 4% has prompted Banxico to delay its 3% target convergence until late 2027, while holding the policy rate at 6.50%. This environment, combined with subdued energy prices and contained food costs, supports the market's heaviest weighting on the 3.50-3.99% band. Analysts' projections cluster around 3.0-3.5% for the full-year average, tempered by risks from potential tariff or tax policy effects and global commodity volatility that could push readings higher within the 3-4% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$61,370Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's recent disinflation trend, with headline CPI easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June, underpins trader positioning for the 2026 annual average. Persistent but moderating core inflation near 4% has prompted Banxico to delay its 3% target convergence until late 2027, while holding the policy rate at 6.50%. This environment, combined with subdued energy prices and contained food costs, supports the market's heaviest weighting on the 3.50-3.99% band. Analysts' projections cluster around 3.0-3.5% for the full-year average, tempered by risks from potential tariff or tax policy effects and global commodity volatility that could push readings higher within the 3-4% range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$61,370Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's recent disinflation trend, with headline CPI easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June, underpins trader positioning for the 2026 annual average. Persistent but moderating core inflation near 4% has prompted Banxico to delay its 3% target convergence until late 2027, while holding the policy rate at 6.50%. This environment, combined with subdued energy prices and contained food costs, supports the market's heaviest weighting on the 3.50-3.99% band. Analysts' projections cluster around 3.0-3.5% for the full-year average, tempered by risks from potential tariff or tax policy effects and global commodity volatility that could push readings higher within the 3-4% range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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