**Lebanese Parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions.** Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew from the session without forcing a collapse, while Amal Movement lawmakers backed the vote. Salam continues to lead negotiations under a U.S.-mediated tripartite framework aimed at phased Israeli withdrawal, Lebanese Army deployment, and exclusive state sovereignty over territory. The government is also managing post-conflict reconstruction estimates, refugee returns, and budget discussions. These developments reflect sustained parliamentary and institutional support amid ongoing diplomatic efforts, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato24% probabilità
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NUOVO
31 dic 2026
24% probabilità
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31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lebanese Parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions.** Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew from the session without forcing a collapse, while Amal Movement lawmakers backed the vote. Salam continues to lead negotiations under a U.S.-mediated tripartite framework aimed at phased Israeli withdrawal, Lebanese Army deployment, and exclusive state sovereignty over territory. The government is also managing post-conflict reconstruction estimates, refugee returns, and budget discussions. These developments reflect sustained parliamentary and institutional support amid ongoing diplomatic efforts, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,223Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lebanese Parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions.** Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew from the session without forcing a collapse, while Amal Movement lawmakers backed the vote. Salam continues to lead negotiations under a U.S.-mediated tripartite framework aimed at phased Israeli withdrawal, Lebanese Army deployment, and exclusive state sovereignty over territory. The government is also managing post-conflict reconstruction estimates, refugee returns, and budget discussions. These developments reflect sustained parliamentary and institutional support amid ongoing diplomatic efforts, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,223Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Lebanese Parliament renewed confidence in Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s government on September 16, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions.** Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew from the session without forcing a collapse, while Amal Movement lawmakers backed the vote. Salam continues to lead negotiations under a U.S.-mediated tripartite framework aimed at phased Israeli withdrawal, Lebanese Army deployment, and exclusive state sovereignty over territory. The government is also managing post-conflict reconstruction estimates, refugee returns, and budget discussions. These developments reflect sustained parliamentary and institutional support amid ongoing diplomatic efforts, aligning with trader consensus that Salam is unlikely to exit the premiership before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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