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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

Andy Burnham 55.6%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 16%

Wes Streeting 9%

Angela Rayner 9%

Polymarket

$7,443,573 Vol.

Andy Burnham 55.6%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 16%

Wes Streeting 9%

Angela Rayner 9%

Polymarket

$7,443,573 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$578,719 Vol.

56%

icon for Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

$419,833 Vol.

16%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$286,861 Vol.

9%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$475,886 Vol.

9%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$320,881 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$217,115 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$810,430 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$302,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$289,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$304,671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$692,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$531,574 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$198,803 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$259,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$354,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$137,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$376,493 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$335,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$298,176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$211,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$40,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,443,573
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,443,573
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andy Burnham" a 56%, seguito da "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 56¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" ha generato $7.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è "Andy Burnham" a 56%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.