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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

Andy Burnham 56.7%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 12%

Wes Streeting 10%

Angela Rayner 10%

Polymarket

$7,286,104 Vol.

Andy Burnham 56.7%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 12%

Wes Streeting 10%

Angela Rayner 10%

Polymarket

$7,286,104 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$572,337 Vol.

57%

icon for Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

$398,483 Vol.

12%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$284,184 Vol.

10%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$472,817 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,454 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$215,194 Vol.

3%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,849 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$283,121 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$300,944 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$296,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$450,238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,602 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$374,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$334,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,455 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,442 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the market for next UK prime minister in 2026, driven by his established profile as Mayor of Greater Manchester and consistent backing within Labour circles as a potential successor amid ongoing party dynamics. Traders appear to factor in his track record on regional governance and broad voter recognition, which positions him ahead of cabinet figures like Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner. Lower odds on alternatives such as Ed Miliband or Nigel Farage reflect limited immediate momentum for those paths under current parliamentary arithmetic and leadership stability. The pricing aligns with historical patterns of UK transitions, where internal polls and public statements often shape early frontrunner status well before any formal contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,286,104
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham holds the leading position in the market for next UK prime minister in 2026, driven by his established profile as Mayor of Greater Manchester and consistent backing within Labour circles as a potential successor amid ongoing party dynamics. Traders appear to factor in his track record on regional governance and broad voter recognition, which positions him ahead of cabinet figures like Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner. Lower odds on alternatives such as Ed Miliband or Nigel Farage reflect limited immediate momentum for those paths under current parliamentary arithmetic and leadership stability. The pricing aligns with historical patterns of UK transitions, where internal polls and public statements often shape early frontrunner status well before any formal contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,286,104
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andy Burnham" a 57%, seguito da "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" ha generato $7.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è "Andy Burnham" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.