Greg Landsman’s position as the strong favorite in Ohio’s 1st congressional district reflects his status as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage and favorable race ratings from multiple forecasters that rate the seat Lean Democratic. Landsman defeated his primary challenger decisively in May 2026, while Republican nominee Eric Conroy, a Trump-endorsed former CIA officer and Air Force veteran, secured his nomination but faces a district that mixes Democratic-leaning Cincinnati precincts with more conservative suburban and rural areas in Warren and Clinton counties. Recent polling shows a narrow Landsman lead, and traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s organizational edge and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions heavily. A shift in national political conditions, stronger Republican turnout on issues such as the economy or immigration, or sustained momentum for Conroy could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-01 House Election Winner
OH-01 House Election Winner
$22,995 Vol.
$22,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Greg Landsman (D)
90%
Eric Conroy (R)
10%
$22,995 Vol.
$22,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Greg Landsman (D)
$14,833 Vol.
90%
Eric Conroy (R)
$8,162 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Landsman’s position as the strong favorite in Ohio’s 1st congressional district reflects his status as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage and favorable race ratings from multiple forecasters that rate the seat Lean Democratic. Landsman defeated his primary challenger decisively in May 2026, while Republican nominee Eric Conroy, a Trump-endorsed former CIA officer and Air Force veteran, secured his nomination but faces a district that mixes Democratic-leaning Cincinnati precincts with more conservative suburban and rural areas in Warren and Clinton counties. Recent polling shows a narrow Landsman lead, and traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s organizational edge and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions heavily. A shift in national political conditions, stronger Republican turnout on issues such as the economy or immigration, or sustained momentum for Conroy could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,995Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Landsman’s position as the strong favorite in Ohio’s 1st congressional district reflects his status as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage and favorable race ratings from multiple forecasters that rate the seat Lean Democratic. Landsman defeated his primary challenger decisively in May 2026, while Republican nominee Eric Conroy, a Trump-endorsed former CIA officer and Air Force veteran, secured his nomination but faces a district that mixes Democratic-leaning Cincinnati precincts with more conservative suburban and rural areas in Warren and Clinton counties. Recent polling shows a narrow Landsman lead, and traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s organizational edge and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions heavily. A shift in national political conditions, stronger Republican turnout on issues such as the economy or immigration, or sustained momentum for Conroy could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,995Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Landsman’s position as the strong favorite in Ohio’s 1st congressional district reflects his status as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage and favorable race ratings from multiple forecasters that rate the seat Lean Democratic. Landsman defeated his primary challenger decisively in May 2026, while Republican nominee Eric Conroy, a Trump-endorsed former CIA officer and Air Force veteran, secured his nomination but faces a district that mixes Democratic-leaning Cincinnati precincts with more conservative suburban and rural areas in Warren and Clinton counties. Recent polling shows a narrow Landsman lead, and traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s organizational edge and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions heavily. A shift in national political conditions, stronger Republican turnout on issues such as the economy or immigration, or sustained momentum for Conroy could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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