Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean in statewide contests anchors trader expectations for a party victory in the 2026 governor's race, with the Democratic nominee viewed as the decisive favorite. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows challenger Helena Foulkes expanding her lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September primary, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with McKee's approval ratings and fundraising shortfalls. Analysts rate the general election as safely Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns and the state's partisan composition. The independent candidacy of Ken Block and a crowded Republican primary represent the main competitive variables, though both face structural barriers to general-election viability. Late shifts in primary momentum or turnout among independents remain the primary paths for any meaningful change in the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDemocratico 94%
Repubblicano 3.8%
Indipendente 2.4%
$51,358 Vol.
$51,358 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
94%
Repubblicano
4%
Indipendente
2%
Democratico 94%
Repubblicano 3.8%
Indipendente 2.4%
$51,358 Vol.
$51,358 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$44,196 Vol.
94%
Repubblicano
$6,972 Vol.
4%
Indipendente
$190 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean in statewide contests anchors trader expectations for a party victory in the 2026 governor's race, with the Democratic nominee viewed as the decisive favorite. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows challenger Helena Foulkes expanding her lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September primary, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with McKee's approval ratings and fundraising shortfalls. Analysts rate the general election as safely Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns and the state's partisan composition. The independent candidacy of Ken Block and a crowded Republican primary represent the main competitive variables, though both face structural barriers to general-election viability. Late shifts in primary momentum or turnout among independents remain the primary paths for any meaningful change in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$51,358Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean in statewide contests anchors trader expectations for a party victory in the 2026 governor's race, with the Democratic nominee viewed as the decisive favorite. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows challenger Helena Foulkes expanding her lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September primary, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with McKee's approval ratings and fundraising shortfalls. Analysts rate the general election as safely Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns and the state's partisan composition. The independent candidacy of Ken Block and a crowded Republican primary represent the main competitive variables, though both face structural barriers to general-election viability. Late shifts in primary momentum or turnout among independents remain the primary paths for any meaningful change in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$51,358Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean in statewide contests anchors trader expectations for a party victory in the 2026 governor's race, with the Democratic nominee viewed as the decisive favorite. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows challenger Helena Foulkes expanding her lead over incumbent Dan McKee in the September primary, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with McKee's approval ratings and fundraising shortfalls. Analysts rate the general election as safely Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns and the state's partisan composition. The independent candidacy of Ken Block and a crowded Republican primary represent the main competitive variables, though both face structural barriers to general-election viability. Late shifts in primary momentum or turnout among independents remain the primary paths for any meaningful change in the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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