Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-07
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MD-07
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$9,087 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,360Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,360Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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