Skip to main content
icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Mac Deford 44%

Matt Fulmer 1.2%

Francina Dantzler <1%

Max Diaz <1%

Polymarket

$7,126 Vol.

Mac Deford 44%

Matt Fulmer 1.2%

Francina Dantzler <1%

Max Diaz <1%

Polymarket

$7,126 Vol.

Mac Deford

$976 Vol.

44%

Matt Fulmer

$1,815 Vol.

1%

Francina Dantzler

$735 Vol.

1%

Max Diaz

$1,271 Vol.

8%

Mayra Rivera-Vazquez

$613 Vol.

<1%

Ben Frasier

$846 Vol.

<1%

Nancy Lacore

$872 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced to the June 23 runoff after finishing first and second in the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with neither reaching a majority. Their narrow polling margins and similar profiles as military veterans—Lacore as a retired three-star Navy admiral and former Navy Reserve chief, Deford as a Coast Guard veteran and former Hilton Head general counsel who ran in the 2024 primary—have kept trader probabilities tightly matched near 44 percent each. Lower-polling candidates such as Max Diaz split the remaining vote in the initial round, while factors including name recognition from Lacore’s service record, Deford’s prior district experience, local Lowcountry issues like redistricting, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still separate the contenders before the runoff concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,126
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford advanced to the June 23 runoff after finishing first and second in the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with neither reaching a majority. Their narrow polling margins and similar profiles as military veterans—Lacore as a retired three-star Navy admiral and former Navy Reserve chief, Deford as a Coast Guard veteran and former Hilton Head general counsel who ran in the 2024 primary—have kept trader probabilities tightly matched near 44 percent each. Lower-polling candidates such as Max Diaz split the remaining vote in the initial round, while factors including name recognition from Lacore’s service record, Deford’s prior district experience, local Lowcountry issues like redistricting, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still separate the contenders before the runoff concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,126
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nancy Lacore" a 45%, seguito da "Mac Deford" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 25, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Nancy Lacore" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mac Deford" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.