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Elezioni·Trump

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12

icon for Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12
Elezioni·Trump

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 37%

Jack Schlossberg 11%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,488 Vol.

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 37%

Jack Schlossberg 11%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,488 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$17,180 Vol.

45%

Alex Bores

$8,107 Vol.

37%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,137 Vol.

17%

Cameron Kasky

$5,937 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,666 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,388 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,094 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,321 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,491 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,744 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,214 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,865 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,331 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,142 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,337 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,748 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, the contest to succeed retiring Representative Jerry Nadler remains closely contested among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg trailing. Nadler’s February endorsement of Lasher has bolstered his position as the establishment choice emphasizing legislative experience on the Upper West Side, while Bores has secured strong labor backing and raised significant funds tied to his advocacy for AI regulation from the Upper East Side. Schlossberg’s Kennedy family name recognition and appeal to younger voters have generated media attention and early polling visibility, yet the race has not produced a decisive frontrunner. Upcoming candidate forums and continued fundraising through the June 23 primary could shift momentum, particularly if one candidate consolidates endorsements from unions or key Manhattan political organizations.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,488
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, the contest to succeed retiring Representative Jerry Nadler remains closely contested among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg trailing. Nadler’s February endorsement of Lasher has bolstered his position as the establishment choice emphasizing legislative experience on the Upper West Side, while Bores has secured strong labor backing and raised significant funds tied to his advocacy for AI regulation from the Upper East Side. Schlossberg’s Kennedy family name recognition and appeal to younger voters have generated media attention and early polling visibility, yet the race has not produced a decisive frontrunner. Upcoming candidate forums and continued fundraising through the June 23 primary could shift momentum, particularly if one candidate consolidates endorsements from unions or key Manhattan political organizations.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,488
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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"Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 19 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Micah Lasher" a 45%, seguito da "Alex Bores" a 37%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" ha generato $362.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 21, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12", esplora i 19 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" è "Micah Lasher" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alex Bores" a 37%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-12" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.