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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Kiambo White <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Kiambo White <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$3,312 Vol.

88%

David Trone

$2,632 Vol.

12%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,662 Vol.

<1%

Kiambo White

$2,925 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,502 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$1,822 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,757 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,428 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting strong recent polling leads, endorsements from party leaders and local officials, and her established record since winning the seat in 2024.** Former Representative David Trone, who vacated the district to run unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate that year, has mounted a well-funded primary challenge using significant personal resources, but polls consistently show him trailing by double digits despite heavy advertising. The race has grown more contentious in recent weeks ahead of the June 23 primary, with competing messaging on issues such as immigration enforcement and campaign tactics, yet McClain Delaney maintains advantages in fundraising support from aligned groups and broader institutional backing. Minor candidates remain marginal in both visibility and resources. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the incumbent’s structural edge in a short timeline to the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting strong recent polling leads, endorsements from party leaders and local officials, and her established record since winning the seat in 2024.** Former Representative David Trone, who vacated the district to run unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate that year, has mounted a well-funded primary challenge using significant personal resources, but polls consistently show him trailing by double digits despite heavy advertising. The race has grown more contentious in recent weeks ahead of the June 23 primary, with competing messaging on issues such as immigration enforcement and campaign tactics, yet McClain Delaney maintains advantages in fundraising support from aligned groups and broader institutional backing. Minor candidates remain marginal in both visibility and resources. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the incumbent’s structural edge in a short timeline to the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "April McClain Delaney" a 88%, seguito da "David Trone" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $17K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è "April McClain Delaney" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "David Trone" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.