Google's Gemini lineup, including the recently released 3.7 Flash variant, drives the 65.5% implied probability as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong category-specific Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude models like Fable 5 and Opus variants. Recent updates have boosted Google's math reasoning performance in the live arena.ai leaderboard, where human votes and AutoEval metrics favor its efficiency and consistency over OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family or Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and Alibaba. Traders price lower odds for others due to slower recent gains in hard math prompts and benchmark stability, though new model drops or voting surges could shift the closely watched second-place threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 66%
Alibaba 17%
OpenAI 10.3%
Anthropic 8%
$26,394 Vol.
$26,394 Vol.
30 set 2026
66%
Alibaba
17%
OpenAI
10%
Anthropic
8%
Meituan
4%
Moonshot
2%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Baidu
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Google 66%
Alibaba 17%
OpenAI 10.3%
Anthropic 8%
$26,394 Vol.
$26,394 Vol.
30 set 2026
$9,063 Vol.
66%
Alibaba
$3,710 Vol.
17%
OpenAI
$2,505 Vol.
10%
Anthropic
$2,487 Vol.
8%
Meituan
$641 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$512 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$502 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$574 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$510 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$493 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$496 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$519 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$625 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$511 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$483 Vol.
1%
Meta
$461 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$522 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$530 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$887 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$363 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini lineup, including the recently released 3.7 Flash variant, drives the 65.5% implied probability as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong category-specific Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude models like Fable 5 and Opus variants. Recent updates have boosted Google's math reasoning performance in the live arena.ai leaderboard, where human votes and AutoEval metrics favor its efficiency and consistency over OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family or Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and Alibaba. Traders price lower odds for others due to slower recent gains in hard math prompts and benchmark stability, though new model drops or voting surges could shift the closely watched second-place threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,394Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini lineup, including the recently released 3.7 Flash variant, drives the 65.5% implied probability as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong category-specific Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude models like Fable 5 and Opus variants. Recent updates have boosted Google's math reasoning performance in the live arena.ai leaderboard, where human votes and AutoEval metrics favor its efficiency and consistency over OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family or Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and Alibaba. Traders price lower odds for others due to slower recent gains in hard math prompts and benchmark stability, though new model drops or voting surges could shift the closely watched second-place threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,394Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini lineup, including the recently released 3.7 Flash variant, drives the 65.5% implied probability as the second-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong category-specific Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude models like Fable 5 and Opus variants. Recent updates have boosted Google's math reasoning performance in the live arena.ai leaderboard, where human votes and AutoEval metrics favor its efficiency and consistency over OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family or Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and Alibaba. Traders price lower odds for others due to slower recent gains in hard math prompts and benchmark stability, though new model drops or voting surges could shift the closely watched second-place threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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