**Recent polling for Serbia’s October 25 parliamentary election shows the Student List—formed by the student movement from 2024–2025 anti-corruption protests—competing closely with the ruling SNS-led “United Serbia” list, with surveys producing results scattered across the low-to-mid 40s.** Faktor Plus’s mid-September poll placed SNS at 48.6% and the Student List at 37.1%, while earlier CRTA and NSPM surveys showed the Student List ahead or nearly tied; BIRODI’s August model projected a Student List lead near 48.5%. Volatility stems from differing methodologies, high undecided shares, and uncertainty over youth and former non-voter turnout. Aleksandar Vučić’s September 27 resignation as president to lead the SNS campaign as prime-minister candidate has sharpened the contest, alongside the Student List’s rapid certification and 11-point reform platform. Traders price the outcome in the 40–50% range because mobilization on both sides, SPS performance, and threshold dynamics for smaller lists remain decisive factors in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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