Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
180-190 milioni 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 milioni 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
86%
180-190 milioni
10%
190-200m
4%
200-210 milioni
1%
210-220 milioni
1%
220 milioni+
<1%
<180m 86%
180-190 milioni 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 milioni 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$10,049 Vol.
86%
180-190 milioni
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
4%
200-210 milioni
$1,061 Vol.
1%
210-220 milioni
$1,282 Vol.
1%
220 milioni+
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$17,481Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,481Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il botteghino del secondo weekend di "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" sarà tra 160 e 170 milioni?
50%
Sì
Il totale degli incassi nazionali per Spider-Man: Brand New Day supererà almeno i 900 milioni entro il 31 agosto?
81%
Sì
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
44%
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