Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31 has propelled it to $449 million after just five days, driving the 80.8% market-implied probability for a $900 million-plus total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led MCU entry shattered the previous North American debut benchmark held by Avengers: Endgame, sustained strong midweek holds with Tuesday earnings of $42 million, and crossed $1.15 billion worldwide in record time, reflecting robust audience demand and front-loaded event positioning. With four weeks remaining before the August 31 cutoff and minimal competition in the immediate window, trader consensus views further acceleration toward or beyond $1 billion domestically as the base case, though late-summer legs will ultimately determine whether it clears that threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
900 mln+ 80.8%
800 - 900 milioni 18%
700 - 800 milioni 2.6%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$340,858 Vol.
$340,858 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
1%
700 - 800 milioni
3%
800 - 900 milioni
18%
900 mln+
81%
900 mln+ 80.8%
800 - 900 milioni 18%
700 - 800 milioni 2.6%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$340,858 Vol.
$340,858 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$19,618 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$25,247 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$26,695 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 milioni
$23,069 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 milioni
$37,935 Vol.
18%
900 mln+
$202,471 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31 has propelled it to $449 million after just five days, driving the 80.8% market-implied probability for a $900 million-plus total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led MCU entry shattered the previous North American debut benchmark held by Avengers: Endgame, sustained strong midweek holds with Tuesday earnings of $42 million, and crossed $1.15 billion worldwide in record time, reflecting robust audience demand and front-loaded event positioning. With four weeks remaining before the August 31 cutoff and minimal competition in the immediate window, trader consensus views further acceleration toward or beyond $1 billion domestically as the base case, though late-summer legs will ultimately determine whether it clears that threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$340,858Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31 has propelled it to $449 million after just five days, driving the 80.8% market-implied probability for a $900 million-plus total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led MCU entry shattered the previous North American debut benchmark held by Avengers: Endgame, sustained strong midweek holds with Tuesday earnings of $42 million, and crossed $1.15 billion worldwide in record time, reflecting robust audience demand and front-loaded event positioning. With four weeks remaining before the August 31 cutoff and minimal competition in the immediate window, trader consensus views further acceleration toward or beyond $1 billion domestically as the base case, though late-summer legs will ultimately determine whether it clears that threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$340,858Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31 has propelled it to $449 million after just five days, driving the 80.8% market-implied probability for a $900 million-plus total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led MCU entry shattered the previous North American debut benchmark held by Avengers: Endgame, sustained strong midweek holds with Tuesday earnings of $42 million, and crossed $1.15 billion worldwide in record time, reflecting robust audience demand and front-loaded event positioning. With four weeks remaining before the August 31 cutoff and minimal competition in the immediate window, trader consensus views further acceleration toward or beyond $1 billion domestically as the base case, though late-summer legs will ultimately determine whether it clears that threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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