Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest in history—has propelled trader sentiment toward a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel entry has maintained exceptional momentum with the biggest Tuesday ever at $42 million and strong second-weekend tracking near $150–160 million, already pushing the domestic cume past $449 million after one week. This pace, combined with favorable August holdover dynamics and limited competition, aligns with the market’s 77.6% implied probability for the top outcome. Precedent from prior Holland Spider-Man films and the film’s 90% critical score further support sustained earnings through month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
900 mln+ 81.0%
800 - 900 milioni 18%
700 - 800 milioni 2.6%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$340,788 Vol.
$340,788 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
1%
700 - 800 milioni
3%
800 - 900 milioni
18%
900 mln+
81%
900 mln+ 81.0%
800 - 900 milioni 18%
700 - 800 milioni 2.6%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$340,788 Vol.
$340,788 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$19,618 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$25,247 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$26,695 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 milioni
$23,069 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 milioni
$37,865 Vol.
18%
900 mln+
$202,471 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest in history—has propelled trader sentiment toward a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel entry has maintained exceptional momentum with the biggest Tuesday ever at $42 million and strong second-weekend tracking near $150–160 million, already pushing the domestic cume past $449 million after one week. This pace, combined with favorable August holdover dynamics and limited competition, aligns with the market’s 77.6% implied probability for the top outcome. Precedent from prior Holland Spider-Man films and the film’s 90% critical score further support sustained earnings through month-end.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$340,788Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest in history—has propelled trader sentiment toward a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel entry has maintained exceptional momentum with the biggest Tuesday ever at $42 million and strong second-weekend tracking near $150–160 million, already pushing the domestic cume past $449 million after one week. This pace, combined with favorable August holdover dynamics and limited competition, aligns with the market’s 77.6% implied probability for the top outcome. Precedent from prior Holland Spider-Man films and the film’s 90% critical score further support sustained earnings through month-end.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$340,788Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest in history—has propelled trader sentiment toward a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel entry has maintained exceptional momentum with the biggest Tuesday ever at $42 million and strong second-weekend tracking near $150–160 million, already pushing the domestic cume past $449 million after one week. This pace, combined with favorable August holdover dynamics and limited competition, aligns with the market’s 77.6% implied probability for the top outcome. Precedent from prior Holland Spider-Man films and the film’s 90% critical score further support sustained earnings through month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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