Exceptional drought (D4) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor remain concentrated in the Intermountain West and Southern Plains as of the August 18 map, covering roughly 1.1% of the contiguous United States, primarily in western Nebraska, parts of Colorado, northeastern Oregon, southern Idaho, western Oklahoma, and the Texas Panhandle. Record July heat combined with insufficient monsoon rainfall has sustained severe long-term dryness, driving reservoir declines such as Lake Powell at 22% capacity and widespread pasture degradation. Recent heavy rains improved conditions across the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, while dry patterns persisted elsewhere. The next weekly map, covering the period around August 25, will incorporate updated precipitation and temperature data from NOAA and the National Drought Mitigation Center, with above-normal warmth and mixed rainfall forecasts likely influencing any further D4 expansion or contraction in affected states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

Alabama
50%

Arizona
50%

Arkansas
50%

California
50%

Colorado
77%

Delaware
50%

Florida
50%

Georgia
50%

Idaho
50%

Illinois
50%

Indiana
50%

Iowa
49%

Kansas
49%

Kentucky
50%

Louisiana
50%

Maryland
50%

Minnesota
51%

Mississippi
52%

Missouri
50%

Montana
50%

Nebraska
79%

Nevada
29%

New Jersey
53%

New Mexico
51%

North Carolina
51%

North Dakota
50%

Ohio
50%

Oklahoma
49%

Oregon
51%

Pennsylvania
50%

South Carolina
49%

South Dakota
51%

Tennessee
50%

Texas
67%

Utah
61%

Virginia
44%

Washington
50%

West Virginia
50%

Wisconsin
49%

Wyoming
49%
$955 Vol.

Alabama
50%

Arizona
50%

Arkansas
50%

California
50%

Colorado
77%

Delaware
50%

Florida
50%

Georgia
50%

Idaho
50%

Illinois
50%

Indiana
50%

Iowa
49%

Kansas
49%

Kentucky
50%

Louisiana
50%

Maryland
50%

Minnesota
51%

Mississippi
52%

Missouri
50%

Montana
50%

Nebraska
79%

Nevada
29%

New Jersey
53%

New Mexico
51%

North Carolina
51%

North Dakota
50%

Ohio
50%

Oklahoma
49%

Oregon
51%

Pennsylvania
50%

South Carolina
49%

South Dakota
51%

Tennessee
50%

Texas
67%

Utah
61%

Virginia
44%

Washington
50%

West Virginia
50%

Wisconsin
49%

Wyoming
49%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Exceptional drought (D4) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor remain concentrated in the Intermountain West and Southern Plains as of the August 18 map, covering roughly 1.1% of the contiguous United States, primarily in western Nebraska, parts of Colorado, northeastern Oregon, southern Idaho, western Oklahoma, and the Texas Panhandle. Record July heat combined with insufficient monsoon rainfall has sustained severe long-term dryness, driving reservoir declines such as Lake Powell at 22% capacity and widespread pasture degradation. Recent heavy rains improved conditions across the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, while dry patterns persisted elsewhere. The next weekly map, covering the period around August 25, will incorporate updated precipitation and temperature data from NOAA and the National Drought Mitigation Center, with above-normal warmth and mixed rainfall forecasts likely influencing any further D4 expansion or contraction in affected states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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