Trump and Putin have maintained regular phone contacts into mid-2026, yet stalled Ukraine peace efforts and renewed battlefield escalation have reduced near-term summit prospects, supporting the 65% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. The 2025 Alaska summit produced limited follow-through, leaving bilateral channels focused on sanctions timelines and envoy visits rather than venue planning. China leads alternative locations at 30.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, recent high-level Putin-Xi engagements, and neutral third-country precedent for sensitive talks. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and European venues reflect logistical, political, and security constraints, including sanctions regimes and the absence of confirmed schedules or third-party hosting commitments within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 65%
China 31%
United States 1.4%
Russia 1.3%
$418,686 Vol.
$418,686 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
65%
China
31%
United States
1%
Russia
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 65%
China 31%
United States 1.4%
Russia 1.3%
$418,686 Vol.
$418,686 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
$80,928 Vol.
65%
China
$52,629 Vol.
31%
United States
$19,867 Vol.
1%
Russia
$64,252 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$15,070 Vol.
1%
Other
$15,719 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$18,299 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$13,658 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$20,677 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$13,643 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$16,301 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$12,874 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$15,740 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$20,553 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$38,475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump and Putin have maintained regular phone contacts into mid-2026, yet stalled Ukraine peace efforts and renewed battlefield escalation have reduced near-term summit prospects, supporting the 65% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. The 2025 Alaska summit produced limited follow-through, leaving bilateral channels focused on sanctions timelines and envoy visits rather than venue planning. China leads alternative locations at 30.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, recent high-level Putin-Xi engagements, and neutral third-country precedent for sensitive talks. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and European venues reflect logistical, political, and security constraints, including sanctions regimes and the absence of confirmed schedules or third-party hosting commitments within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$418,686Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump and Putin have maintained regular phone contacts into mid-2026, yet stalled Ukraine peace efforts and renewed battlefield escalation have reduced near-term summit prospects, supporting the 65% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. The 2025 Alaska summit produced limited follow-through, leaving bilateral channels focused on sanctions timelines and envoy visits rather than venue planning. China leads alternative locations at 30.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, recent high-level Putin-Xi engagements, and neutral third-country precedent for sensitive talks. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and European venues reflect logistical, political, and security constraints, including sanctions regimes and the absence of confirmed schedules or third-party hosting commitments within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$418,686Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump and Putin have maintained regular phone contacts into mid-2026, yet stalled Ukraine peace efforts and renewed battlefield escalation have reduced near-term summit prospects, supporting the 65% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. The 2025 Alaska summit produced limited follow-through, leaving bilateral channels focused on sanctions timelines and envoy visits rather than venue planning. China leads alternative locations at 30.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, recent high-level Putin-Xi engagements, and neutral third-country precedent for sensitive talks. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and European venues reflect logistical, political, and security constraints, including sanctions regimes and the absence of confirmed schedules or third-party hosting commitments within the remaining months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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