OpenAI’s dominant position in artificial intelligence revenue, driven by sustained user growth for its flagship large language models and enterprise API usage, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for second-highest revenue in the May 11-17 window. Traders view OpenAI’s established scale and recurring subscription streams as creating a durable edge over peers, even as Google and Anthropic continue expanding their own offerings. While the consensus reflects real capital commitments and historical patterns of rapid adoption, the outcome remains sensitive to last-minute reporting adjustments or unexpected spikes in competitor monetization that could narrow the gap before final figures are tallied.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?
Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?
OpenAI 98.8%
MiniMax <1%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,731 Vol.
$27,731 Vol.
17 mag 2026
OpenAI
99%
MiniMax
1%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.8%
MiniMax <1%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,731 Vol.
$27,731 Vol.
17 mag 2026
OpenAI
$9,954 Vol.
99%
MiniMax
$950 Vol.
1%
$1,873 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,087 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,581 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$4,480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s dominant position in artificial intelligence revenue, driven by sustained user growth for its flagship large language models and enterprise API usage, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for second-highest revenue in the May 11-17 window. Traders view OpenAI’s established scale and recurring subscription streams as creating a durable edge over peers, even as Google and Anthropic continue expanding their own offerings. While the consensus reflects real capital commitments and historical patterns of rapid adoption, the outcome remains sensitive to last-minute reporting adjustments or unexpected spikes in competitor monetization that could narrow the gap before final figures are tallied.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$27,731Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s dominant position in artificial intelligence revenue, driven by sustained user growth for its flagship large language models and enterprise API usage, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for second-highest revenue in the May 11-17 window. Traders view OpenAI’s established scale and recurring subscription streams as creating a durable edge over peers, even as Google and Anthropic continue expanding their own offerings. While the consensus reflects real capital commitments and historical patterns of rapid adoption, the outcome remains sensitive to last-minute reporting adjustments or unexpected spikes in competitor monetization that could narrow the gap before final figures are tallied.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Volume
$27,731Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s dominant position in artificial intelligence revenue, driven by sustained user growth for its flagship large language models and enterprise API usage, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for second-highest revenue in the May 11-17 window. Traders view OpenAI’s established scale and recurring subscription streams as creating a durable edge over peers, even as Google and Anthropic continue expanding their own offerings. While the consensus reflects real capital commitments and historical patterns of rapid adoption, the outcome remains sensitive to last-minute reporting adjustments or unexpected spikes in competitor monetization that could narrow the gap before final figures are tallied.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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