The Trump administration has shifted U.S. industrial policy by conditioning CHIPS Act research awards and related federal funding on minority equity stakes or warrants in recipient companies, converting prior grant programs into ownership positions that provide the government a financial return while advancing national security and supply-chain goals. Since January 2025, this approach has produced roughly 30 deals across semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, including a nearly 10 percent stake in Intel and a golden share in U.S. Steel. Commerce Department letters of intent announced in July 2026 added six more firms, bringing the total portfolio higher and signaling routine use of equity instruments. Trader probabilities currently favor additional semiconductor and quantum names such as GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave, while defense contractors remain lower but responsive to new procurement agreements. Further CHIPS awards and defense budget actions before 2027 represent the main scheduled catalysts that could expand the list.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$169,995 Vol.
31 dic 2026
GlobalFoundries
86%
D-Wave
77%
Rigetti
77%
Unusual Machines
47%
IonQ
22%
OpenAI
26%
Anduril
19%
Nvidia
16%
Anthropic
16%
Lockheed Martin
19%
TSMC
13%
Palantir
11%
SpaceX
11%
Boeing
10%
Freeport-McMoRan
9%
Eli Lilly
9%
Micron
7%
Pfizer
7%
Samsung Electronics
5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
3%
$169,995 Vol.
GlobalFoundries
$6,177 Vol.
86%
D-Wave
$3,814 Vol.
77%
Rigetti
$24,695 Vol.
77%
Unusual Machines
$3 Vol.
47%
IonQ
$2,427 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$10,165 Vol.
26%
Anduril
$42,343 Vol.
19%
Nvidia
$15,707 Vol.
16%
Anthropic
$5,688 Vol.
16%
Lockheed Martin
$2,096 Vol.
19%
TSMC
$14,203 Vol.
13%
Palantir
$3,297 Vol.
11%
SpaceX
$18 Vol.
11%
Boeing
$9,815 Vol.
10%
Freeport-McMoRan
$2,865 Vol.
9%
Eli Lilly
$2,888 Vol.
9%
Micron
$1,532 Vol.
7%
Pfizer
$6,174 Vol.
7%
Samsung Electronics
$10,118 Vol.
5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$5,971 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has shifted U.S. industrial policy by conditioning CHIPS Act research awards and related federal funding on minority equity stakes or warrants in recipient companies, converting prior grant programs into ownership positions that provide the government a financial return while advancing national security and supply-chain goals. Since January 2025, this approach has produced roughly 30 deals across semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, including a nearly 10 percent stake in Intel and a golden share in U.S. Steel. Commerce Department letters of intent announced in July 2026 added six more firms, bringing the total portfolio higher and signaling routine use of equity instruments. Trader probabilities currently favor additional semiconductor and quantum names such as GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave, while defense contractors remain lower but responsive to new procurement agreements. Further CHIPS awards and defense budget actions before 2027 represent the main scheduled catalysts that could expand the list.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$169,995Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has shifted U.S. industrial policy by conditioning CHIPS Act research awards and related federal funding on minority equity stakes or warrants in recipient companies, converting prior grant programs into ownership positions that provide the government a financial return while advancing national security and supply-chain goals. Since January 2025, this approach has produced roughly 30 deals across semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, including a nearly 10 percent stake in Intel and a golden share in U.S. Steel. Commerce Department letters of intent announced in July 2026 added six more firms, bringing the total portfolio higher and signaling routine use of equity instruments. Trader probabilities currently favor additional semiconductor and quantum names such as GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave, while defense contractors remain lower but responsive to new procurement agreements. Further CHIPS awards and defense budget actions before 2027 represent the main scheduled catalysts that could expand the list.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,995Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has shifted U.S. industrial policy by conditioning CHIPS Act research awards and related federal funding on minority equity stakes or warrants in recipient companies, converting prior grant programs into ownership positions that provide the government a financial return while advancing national security and supply-chain goals. Since January 2025, this approach has produced roughly 30 deals across semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, and defense, including a nearly 10 percent stake in Intel and a golden share in U.S. Steel. Commerce Department letters of intent announced in July 2026 added six more firms, bringing the total portfolio higher and signaling routine use of equity instruments. Trader probabilities currently favor additional semiconductor and quantum names such as GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave, while defense contractors remain lower but responsive to new procurement agreements. Further CHIPS awards and defense budget actions before 2027 represent the main scheduled catalysts that could expand the list.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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