Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$352,961 Vol.
Donald Brodie
52¢
Matt Gaetz
49¢
Daniel Penny
44¢
Stefan Brodie
31¢
Roger Stone
17¢
Keonne Rodriguez
24¢
Ryan Salame
16¢
Roger Ver
16¢
Martin Shkreli
18¢
Steve Bannon
14¢
Elizabeth Holmes
14¢
Eric Adams
10¢
Joe Exotic
9¢
Diddy
7¢
Julian Assange
7¢
Edward Snowden
6¢
Nicolás Maduro
6¢
Hunter Biden
6¢
Se stesso
6¢
Sam Bankman-Fried
5¢
Ghislaine Maxwell
5¢
Derek Chauvin
4¢
Antoine Massey
7¢
Bob Menendez
13¢
Elon Musk
3¢
Young Thug
3¢
Do Kwon
1¢
$352,961 Vol.
Donald Brodie
52¢
Matt Gaetz
49¢
Daniel Penny
44¢
Stefan Brodie
31¢
Roger Stone
17¢
Keonne Rodriguez
24¢
Ryan Salame
16¢
Roger Ver
16¢
Martin Shkreli
18¢
Steve Bannon
14¢
Elizabeth Holmes
14¢
Eric Adams
10¢
Joe Exotic
9¢
Diddy
7¢
Julian Assange
7¢
Edward Snowden
6¢
Nicolás Maduro
6¢
Hunter Biden
6¢
Se stesso
6¢
Sam Bankman-Fried
5¢
Ghislaine Maxwell
5¢
Derek Chauvin
4¢
Antoine Massey
7¢
Bob Menendez
13¢
Elon Musk
3¢
Young Thug
3¢
Do Kwon
1¢
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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