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icon for Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

icon for Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

$438,418 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$438,418 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,918 Vol.

26%

Stefan Brodie

$2,642 Vol.

24%

Donald Brodie

$1,873 Vol.

22%

Matt Gaetz

$3,877 Vol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,506 Vol.

19%

Roger Stone

$4,205 Vol.

18%

Steve Bannon

$8,024 Vol.

13%

Young Thug

$4,440 Vol.

11%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Roger Ver

$1,593 Vol.

8%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$3,557 Vol.

6%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$24,970 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Vol.

6%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,571 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,824 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$29,179 Vol.

4%

Se stesso

$13,643 Vol.

3%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$132,209 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,620 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second-term clemency actions have centered on broad proclamations and targeted grants favoring political allies, January 6 defendants, and individuals with administration connections or donor ties. On inauguration day in January 2025, he issued mass pardons and commutations covering roughly 1,500 federal cases tied to the Capitol events, followed by November 2025 pardons preempting prosecutions for dozens linked to 2020 election challenges, including figures such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have included white-collar offenders, politicians like George Santos and Henry Cuellar, and cryptocurrency executives, often after advocacy by insiders rather than standard DOJ review. Reports indicate over 1,700 grants by mid-2026, with patterns of restitution relief and influence networks. Traders monitor signals of further expansions before 2027, including potential staff protections or additional group actions ahead of the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$438,418
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second-term clemency actions have centered on broad proclamations and targeted grants favoring political allies, January 6 defendants, and individuals with administration connections or donor ties. On inauguration day in January 2025, he issued mass pardons and commutations covering roughly 1,500 federal cases tied to the Capitol events, followed by November 2025 pardons preempting prosecutions for dozens linked to 2020 election challenges, including figures such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have included white-collar offenders, politicians like George Santos and Henry Cuellar, and cryptocurrency executives, often after advocacy by insiders rather than standard DOJ review. Reports indicate over 1,700 grants by mid-2026, with patterns of restitution relief and influence networks. Traders monitor signals of further expansions before 2027, including potential staff protections or additional group actions ahead of the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$438,418
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 28 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ryan Salame" a 26%, seguito da "Stefan Brodie" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 26¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" ha generato $438.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?", esplora i 28 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è "Ryan Salame" a 26%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stefan Brodie" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.