**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$43,461 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre 2026
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30 giugno 2027
29%
$43,461 Vol.
31 dicembre 2026
$31,959 Vol.
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$11,502 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volume
$43,461Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volume
$43,461Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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