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icon for Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?

Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?

icon for Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?

Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?

mag 31

mag 31

$102,555 Vol.

31 mag 2026
Polymarket

$102,555 Vol.

Polymarket
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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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62%

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Friedrich Merz

$1,791 Vol.

37%

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Tucker Carlson

$4,416 Vol.

41%

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Nicolás Maduro

$4,389 Vol.

33%

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Megyn Kelly

$3,383 Vol.

21%

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Keir Starmer

$2,766 Vol.

19%

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Zohran Mamdani

$1,792 Vol.

20%

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Kaitlan Collins

$262 Vol.

16%

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Emmanuel Macron

$537 Vol.

12%

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Alex Jones

$77 Vol.

12%

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Pam Bondi

$460 Vol.

10%

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Mohammed bin Salman

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7%

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Pope Leo XIV

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6%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

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4%

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Elon Musk

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3%

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J.D. Vance

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3%

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Vladimir Putin

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3%

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Xi Jinping

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Melania Trump

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1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's pattern of public criticism through Truth Social posts and speeches continues to shape trader assessments for outcomes by May 31. In the past two weeks he has targeted Pope Leo XIV over claims of endangering Catholics and supporting Iran's nuclear ambitions ahead of a Vatican visit by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, accused former President Obama of treason in a late-night series of posts, and insulted journalists during a May 12 White House event on spending and inflation questions. Earlier attacks on former FBI Director James Comey and Representative Ilhan Omar also remain part of the record. These recurring exchanges, often tied to policy disputes or press interactions, provide the immediate context for evaluating which figures could face renewed scrutiny in the final two weeks of the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$102,555
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's pattern of public criticism through Truth Social posts and speeches continues to shape trader assessments for outcomes by May 31. In the past two weeks he has targeted Pope Leo XIV over claims of endangering Catholics and supporting Iran's nuclear ambitions ahead of a Vatican visit by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, accused former President Obama of treason in a late-night series of posts, and insulted journalists during a May 12 White House event on spending and inflation questions. Earlier attacks on former FBI Director James Comey and Representative Ilhan Omar also remain part of the record. These recurring exchanges, often tied to policy disputes or press interactions, provide the immediate context for evaluating which figures could face renewed scrutiny in the final two weeks of the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$102,555
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 26 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Barack Obama" a 100%, seguito da "Candace Owens" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?" ha generato $102.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 23, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?", esplora i 26 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?" è "Barack Obama" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Candace Owens" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi insulterà pubblicamente Trump entro il 31 maggio?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.