Iran's legal and constitutional framework, grounded in Islamic Sharia principles and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, maintains strict prohibitions on same-sex relations with no legislative initiatives or policy shifts toward legalization in recent years. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no reflects this entrenched theocratic structure, where criminal penalties remain in force and reform efforts face insurmountable institutional barriers. Only scenarios such as a fundamental regime transformation, major constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented international diplomatic leverage could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain outside current observable political patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$47,056 Vol.
$47,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$47,056 Vol.
$47,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal and constitutional framework, grounded in Islamic Sharia principles and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, maintains strict prohibitions on same-sex relations with no legislative initiatives or policy shifts toward legalization in recent years. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no reflects this entrenched theocratic structure, where criminal penalties remain in force and reform efforts face insurmountable institutional barriers. Only scenarios such as a fundamental regime transformation, major constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented international diplomatic leverage could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain outside current observable political patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$47,056Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal and constitutional framework, grounded in Islamic Sharia principles and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, maintains strict prohibitions on same-sex relations with no legislative initiatives or policy shifts toward legalization in recent years. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no reflects this entrenched theocratic structure, where criminal penalties remain in force and reform efforts face insurmountable institutional barriers. Only scenarios such as a fundamental regime transformation, major constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented international diplomatic leverage could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain outside current observable political patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$47,056Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's legal and constitutional framework, grounded in Islamic Sharia principles and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, maintains strict prohibitions on same-sex relations with no legislative initiatives or policy shifts toward legalization in recent years. Trader consensus at 97.7% for no reflects this entrenched theocratic structure, where criminal penalties remain in force and reform efforts face insurmountable institutional barriers. Only scenarios such as a fundamental regime transformation, major constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented international diplomatic leverage could alter the trajectory, though such developments remain outside current observable political patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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