Recent Swedish opinion polls, including July surveys from Novus and earlier SCB and Indikator releases, show the Red-Green opposition bloc holding a consistent 7- to 12-point lead over the Tidö parties, with combined support around 53-55% versus 42-46%. The Social Democrats anchor the opposition near 32%, while the governing Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals trail, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold in multiple samples. The Sweden Democrats remain the largest right-leaning party but have not offset broader bloc erosion since 2022. With the September 13 election weeks away and no major intervening shifts in voter preferences or external shocks reported, these stable polling trends underpin trader assessments that the Tidö parties face significant structural barriers to securing a Riksdag majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoI partiti Tidö vinceranno la maggioranza alle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026?
I partiti Tidö vinceranno la maggioranza alle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026?
Sì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including July surveys from Novus and earlier SCB and Indikator releases, show the Red-Green opposition bloc holding a consistent 7- to 12-point lead over the Tidö parties, with combined support around 53-55% versus 42-46%. The Social Democrats anchor the opposition near 32%, while the governing Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals trail, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold in multiple samples. The Sweden Democrats remain the largest right-leaning party but have not offset broader bloc erosion since 2022. With the September 13 election weeks away and no major intervening shifts in voter preferences or external shocks reported, these stable polling trends underpin trader assessments that the Tidö parties face significant structural barriers to securing a Riksdag majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$5,115Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including July surveys from Novus and earlier SCB and Indikator releases, show the Red-Green opposition bloc holding a consistent 7- to 12-point lead over the Tidö parties, with combined support around 53-55% versus 42-46%. The Social Democrats anchor the opposition near 32%, while the governing Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals trail, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold in multiple samples. The Sweden Democrats remain the largest right-leaning party but have not offset broader bloc erosion since 2022. With the September 13 election weeks away and no major intervening shifts in voter preferences or external shocks reported, these stable polling trends underpin trader assessments that the Tidö parties face significant structural barriers to securing a Riksdag majority.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,115Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls, including July surveys from Novus and earlier SCB and Indikator releases, show the Red-Green opposition bloc holding a consistent 7- to 12-point lead over the Tidö parties, with combined support around 53-55% versus 42-46%. The Social Democrats anchor the opposition near 32%, while the governing Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals trail, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold in multiple samples. The Sweden Democrats remain the largest right-leaning party but have not offset broader bloc erosion since 2022. With the September 13 election weeks away and no major intervening shifts in voter preferences or external shocks reported, these stable polling trends underpin trader assessments that the Tidö parties face significant structural barriers to securing a Riksdag majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026?
99%
Sì
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
84%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
85%
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