Sweden Democrats maintain a firm lead over the Moderate Party in recent polling for the September 2026 parliamentary election, with support holding near 20% while Moderates sit around 17%. This positioning reflects sustained voter priorities on immigration, crime, and integration that have boosted SD since the 2022 vote, alongside stable bloc dynamics in which the Tidö-supported government trails the Red-Green opposition. Social Democrats remain well ahead at roughly 33%, leaving little room for other parties to challenge second place. Traders view the gap between SD and Moderates as durable absent major late-campaign shifts, with SD also showing stronger certainty among its supporters in official surveys. The election timeline leaves limited scope for reversal before advance voting begins later this month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 Vol.
$30,217 Vol.
13 set 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%
Moderate Party (M)
15%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 Vol.
$30,217 Vol.
13 set 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,603 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$10,244 Vol.
85%
Moderate Party (M)
$5,985 Vol.
15%
Centre Party (C)
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$2,226 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats maintain a firm lead over the Moderate Party in recent polling for the September 2026 parliamentary election, with support holding near 20% while Moderates sit around 17%. This positioning reflects sustained voter priorities on immigration, crime, and integration that have boosted SD since the 2022 vote, alongside stable bloc dynamics in which the Tidö-supported government trails the Red-Green opposition. Social Democrats remain well ahead at roughly 33%, leaving little room for other parties to challenge second place. Traders view the gap between SD and Moderates as durable absent major late-campaign shifts, with SD also showing stronger certainty among its supporters in official surveys. The election timeline leaves limited scope for reversal before advance voting begins later this month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$30,217Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden Democrats maintain a firm lead over the Moderate Party in recent polling for the September 2026 parliamentary election, with support holding near 20% while Moderates sit around 17%. This positioning reflects sustained voter priorities on immigration, crime, and integration that have boosted SD since the 2022 vote, alongside stable bloc dynamics in which the Tidö-supported government trails the Red-Green opposition. Social Democrats remain well ahead at roughly 33%, leaving little room for other parties to challenge second place. Traders view the gap between SD and Moderates as durable absent major late-campaign shifts, with SD also showing stronger certainty among its supporters in official surveys. The election timeline leaves limited scope for reversal before advance voting begins later this month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$30,217Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden Democrats maintain a firm lead over the Moderate Party in recent polling for the September 2026 parliamentary election, with support holding near 20% while Moderates sit around 17%. This positioning reflects sustained voter priorities on immigration, crime, and integration that have boosted SD since the 2022 vote, alongside stable bloc dynamics in which the Tidö-supported government trails the Red-Green opposition. Social Democrats remain well ahead at roughly 33%, leaving little room for other parties to challenge second place. Traders view the gap between SD and Moderates as durable absent major late-campaign shifts, with SD also showing stronger certainty among its supporters in official surveys. The election timeline leaves limited scope for reversal before advance voting begins later this month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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