Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading at roughly 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party around 17 percent, with the next tier of parties clustered between 6 and 8 percent. Traders price the Moderates heavily for third place because their support has remained stable in the governing bloc despite the right-wing coalition's overall deficit, while smaller parties show no sustained momentum to close the gap. The Sweden Democrats' modest lead over the Moderates is viewed as durable given persistent voter patterns on immigration and crime, yet insufficient to push the Moderates into fourth. Limited volatility is expected in the final campaign weeks absent major economic or security shocks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.6%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,233 Vol.
$24,233 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%

Moderate Party (M)
83%

Centre Party (C)
2%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
3%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 83%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 2.6%
Centre Party (C) 1.5%
$24,233 Vol.
$24,233 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%

Moderate Party (M)
83%

Centre Party (C)
2%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
3%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading at roughly 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderate Party around 17 percent, with the next tier of parties clustered between 6 and 8 percent. Traders price the Moderates heavily for third place because their support has remained stable in the governing bloc despite the right-wing coalition's overall deficit, while smaller parties show no sustained momentum to close the gap. The Sweden Democrats' modest lead over the Moderates is viewed as durable given persistent voter patterns on immigration and crime, yet insufficient to push the Moderates into fourth. Limited volatility is expected in the final campaign weeks absent major economic or security shocks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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