Recent articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green on August 24, 2026, and referred to the House Judiciary Committee have renewed focus on executive actions involving ICE and CBP enforcement, including cited incidents of civilian deaths and alleged due process concerns. With Republicans holding a narrow House majority, prior Democratic resolutions have stalled, but traders appear to weigh the potential for Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms to enable a simple majority vote on articles before the end of Trump's term. This procedural path, rather than Senate conviction prospects, aligns with the 67.5% implied probability reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on legislative control shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
68% probabilità
$96,341 Vol.
$96,341 Vol.
19 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
68% probabilità
$96,341 Vol.
$96,341 Vol.
19 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green on August 24, 2026, and referred to the House Judiciary Committee have renewed focus on executive actions involving ICE and CBP enforcement, including cited incidents of civilian deaths and alleged due process concerns. With Republicans holding a narrow House majority, prior Democratic resolutions have stalled, but traders appear to weigh the potential for Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms to enable a simple majority vote on articles before the end of Trump's term. This procedural path, rather than Senate conviction prospects, aligns with the 67.5% implied probability reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on legislative control shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,341Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green on August 24, 2026, and referred to the House Judiciary Committee have renewed focus on executive actions involving ICE and CBP enforcement, including cited incidents of civilian deaths and alleged due process concerns. With Republicans holding a narrow House majority, prior Democratic resolutions have stalled, but traders appear to weigh the potential for Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms to enable a simple majority vote on articles before the end of Trump's term. This procedural path, rather than Senate conviction prospects, aligns with the 67.5% implied probability reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on legislative control shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$96,341Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green on August 24, 2026, and referred to the House Judiciary Committee have renewed focus on executive actions involving ICE and CBP enforcement, including cited incidents of civilian deaths and alleged due process concerns. With Republicans holding a narrow House majority, prior Democratic resolutions have stalled, but traders appear to weigh the potential for Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms to enable a simple majority vote on articles before the end of Trump's term. This procedural path, rather than Senate conviction prospects, aligns with the 67.5% implied probability reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on legislative control shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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