Recent extensions of martial law through August 2026 continue to bar presidential elections under Ukraine's constitution, allowing incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy to remain in office past his 2019 term's formal expiration. He has tied any future vote to a prior ceasefire and security guarantees, conditions unmet amid ongoing conflict with Russia. No viable removal mechanisms, such as resignation or impeachment proceedings, have emerged, while domestic polling reflects sustained support for his leadership. These structural factors, combined with repeated parliamentary renewals of wartime measures, underpin the 84.5% implied probability that Zelenskyy stays in power through the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
Sì
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recent extensions of martial law through August 2026 continue to bar presidential elections under Ukraine's constitution, allowing incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy to remain in office past his 2019 term's formal expiration. He has tied any future vote to a prior ceasefire and security guarantees, conditions unmet amid ongoing conflict with Russia. No viable removal mechanisms, such as resignation or impeachment proceedings, have emerged, while domestic polling reflects sustained support for his leadership. These structural factors, combined with repeated parliamentary renewals of wartime measures, underpin the 84.5% implied probability that Zelenskyy stays in power through the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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