Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by parliamentary vote for another 90 days through August 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules that prohibit voting during wartime. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that ballots require a ceasefire and security guarantees first, reinforcing the institutional barriers to any leadership change before the end of 2026. These repeated extensions and public positions align with the 84.5% implied probability that traders assign to Zelenskyy remaining in office, reflecting the entrenched wartime framework that has postponed the vote originally due in 2024. Absent a rapid diplomatic breakthrough ending the conflict, the structure of Ukraine’s legal and security environment sustains this market outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
Sì
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by parliamentary vote for another 90 days through August 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules that prohibit voting during wartime. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that ballots require a ceasefire and security guarantees first, reinforcing the institutional barriers to any leadership change before the end of 2026. These repeated extensions and public positions align with the 84.5% implied probability that traders assign to Zelenskyy remaining in office, reflecting the entrenched wartime framework that has postponed the vote originally due in 2024. Absent a rapid diplomatic breakthrough ending the conflict, the structure of Ukraine’s legal and security environment sustains this market outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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