Apple maintains a commanding 97% market-implied probability of finishing as the third-largest company by market capitalization at the end of May, supported by its stable share price, diversified revenue streams from hardware and services, and defensive positioning relative to higher-beta peers. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, traders appear to view meaningful shifts in competitive standings as unlikely absent major catalysts. Still, a sharp rally in NVIDIA or Microsoft driven by strong earnings beats or positive regulatory news could realistically close the valuation gap if sustained through month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Apple 97.0%
Alphabet 2.4%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$147,154 Vol.
$147,154 Vol.
2026/05/31
Apple
97%
Alphabet
2%
NVIDIA
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Broadcom
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Apple 97.0%
Alphabet 2.4%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$147,154 Vol.
$147,154 Vol.
2026/05/31
Apple
$37,896 Vol.
97%
Alphabet
$33,544 Vol.
2%
NVIDIA
$25,663 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$10,277 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Aramco
$16,047 Vol.
<1%
Broadcom
$3,986 Vol.
<1%
Tesla
$9,324 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$10,418 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple maintains a commanding 97% market-implied probability of finishing as the third-largest company by market capitalization at the end of May, supported by its stable share price, diversified revenue streams from hardware and services, and defensive positioning relative to higher-beta peers. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, traders appear to view meaningful shifts in competitive standings as unlikely absent major catalysts. Still, a sharp rally in NVIDIA or Microsoft driven by strong earnings beats or positive regulatory news could realistically close the valuation gap if sustained through month-end.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$147,154終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple maintains a commanding 97% market-implied probability of finishing as the third-largest company by market capitalization at the end of May, supported by its stable share price, diversified revenue streams from hardware and services, and defensive positioning relative to higher-beta peers. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, traders appear to view meaningful shifts in competitive standings as unlikely absent major catalysts. Still, a sharp rally in NVIDIA or Microsoft driven by strong earnings beats or positive regulatory news could realistically close the valuation gap if sustained through month-end.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$147,154終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple maintains a commanding 97% market-implied probability of finishing as the third-largest company by market capitalization at the end of May, supported by its stable share price, diversified revenue streams from hardware and services, and defensive positioning relative to higher-beta peers. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, traders appear to view meaningful shifts in competitive standings as unlikely absent major catalysts. Still, a sharp rally in NVIDIA or Microsoft driven by strong earnings beats or positive regulatory news could realistically close the valuation gap if sustained through month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問