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icon for アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?

アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?

icon for アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?

アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?

$108,114 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$108,114 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$102,225 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing student-led anti-corruption protests, triggered by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway collapse and continuing through large May 2026 rallies in Belgrade, have sustained pressure on President Aleksandar Vučić for accountability and snap parliamentary elections. Vučić has signaled early parliamentary voting between late September and mid-November 2026 while hinting during a May 2026 China visit that he may resign before his second term ends in 2027, though he has ruled out constitutional changes for a third presidential bid. Recent prime ministerial transitions and local election results for his SNS party reflect both resilience and mounting challenges from opposition demands and institutional legitimacy questions. These dynamics shape trader assessments of near-term leadership continuity amid scheduled electoral processes and protest momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$108,114
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

最終審査

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing student-led anti-corruption protests, triggered by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway collapse and continuing through large May 2026 rallies in Belgrade, have sustained pressure on President Aleksandar Vučić for accountability and snap parliamentary elections. Vučić has signaled early parliamentary voting between late September and mid-November 2026 while hinting during a May 2026 China visit that he may resign before his second term ends in 2027, though he has ruled out constitutional changes for a third presidential bid. Recent prime ministerial transitions and local election results for his SNS party reflect both resilience and mounting challenges from opposition demands and institutional legitimacy questions. These dynamics shape trader assessments of near-term leadership continuity amid scheduled electoral processes and protest momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$108,114
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

最終審査

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日」で96%、次いで「2025年12月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?」は$108.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2025年12月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。