Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a potential September or October Nasdaq listing, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Strong revenue momentum—with run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion and forward ARR projections climbing toward $115 billion—supports expectations of a meaningful public-market premium over the last private round, consistent with secondary trading levels near $1.05–1.15 trillion. Comparable AI and tech listings, including SpaceX’s recent path, highlight both the potential for trillion-plus outcomes driven by AI infrastructure demand and the risk of valuation discipline from capital-intensive growth and competitive pressures versus OpenAI. The tightly clustered probabilities across the $1.5–2.75 trillion range reflect uncertainty around final pricing, share supply, and macroeconomic conditions heading into the offering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$323,059 Vol.
$323,059 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.7%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$323,059 Vol.
$323,059 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
11%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by its June 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a potential September or October Nasdaq listing, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Strong revenue momentum—with run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion and forward ARR projections climbing toward $115 billion—supports expectations of a meaningful public-market premium over the last private round, consistent with secondary trading levels near $1.05–1.15 trillion. Comparable AI and tech listings, including SpaceX’s recent path, highlight both the potential for trillion-plus outcomes driven by AI infrastructure demand and the risk of valuation discipline from capital-intensive growth and competitive pressures versus OpenAI. The tightly clustered probabilities across the $1.5–2.75 trillion range reflect uncertainty around final pricing, share supply, and macroeconomic conditions heading into the offering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問