Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X drives the market’s strong lean toward the 40-64 tweet range over the three-day window, reflecting trader consensus around his recent daily averages of roughly 15–30 posts. Activity has remained steady without major spikes or external catalysts in early August, keeping higher buckets like 65–89 at just 27.5% and sub-40 at 15.5%. While Musk often ramps up replies and commentary during platform updates or news cycles, no imminent announcements such as the planned X codebase release appear positioned to push volume dramatically higher in this short span. Traders are pricing in the platform’s established patterns rather than anticipating an outlier surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜64 48%
65～89 28%
40未満 16%
90〜114 8%
$44,875 Vol.
$44,875 Vol.
2026/08/08
40未満
16%
40〜64
48%
65～89
28%
90〜114
8%
115〜139
2%
140～164
<1%
165〜189
<1%
190～214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40〜64 48%
65～89 28%
40未満 16%
90〜114 8%
$44,875 Vol.
$44,875 Vol.
2026/08/08
40未満
$6,482 Vol.
16%
40〜64
$4,408 Vol.
48%
65～89
$2,923 Vol.
28%
90〜114
$4,410 Vol.
8%
115〜139
$6,411 Vol.
2%
140～164
$8,595 Vol.
<1%
165〜189
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
190～214
$5,734 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X drives the market’s strong lean toward the 40-64 tweet range over the three-day window, reflecting trader consensus around his recent daily averages of roughly 15–30 posts. Activity has remained steady without major spikes or external catalysts in early August, keeping higher buckets like 65–89 at just 27.5% and sub-40 at 15.5%. While Musk often ramps up replies and commentary during platform updates or news cycles, no imminent announcements such as the planned X codebase release appear positioned to push volume dramatically higher in this short span. Traders are pricing in the platform’s established patterns rather than anticipating an outlier surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$44,875終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X drives the market’s strong lean toward the 40-64 tweet range over the three-day window, reflecting trader consensus around his recent daily averages of roughly 15–30 posts. Activity has remained steady without major spikes or external catalysts in early August, keeping higher buckets like 65–89 at just 27.5% and sub-40 at 15.5%. While Musk often ramps up replies and commentary during platform updates or news cycles, no imminent announcements such as the planned X codebase release appear positioned to push volume dramatically higher in this short span. Traders are pricing in the platform’s established patterns rather than anticipating an outlier surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$44,875終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X drives the market’s strong lean toward the 40-64 tweet range over the three-day window, reflecting trader consensus around his recent daily averages of roughly 15–30 posts. Activity has remained steady without major spikes or external catalysts in early August, keeping higher buckets like 65–89 at just 27.5% and sub-40 at 15.5%. While Musk often ramps up replies and commentary during platform updates or news cycles, no imminent announcements such as the planned X codebase release appear positioned to push volume dramatically higher in this short span. Traders are pricing in the platform’s established patterns rather than anticipating an outlier surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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