The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$137,727 Vol.
$137,727 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$137,727 Vol.
$137,727 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$137,727終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$137,727終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market-implied odds of 94% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect the central bank's current policy stance of gradual normalization amid resilient U.S. growth, contained inflation near target, and a stable labor market with low unemployment. Recent FOMC communications and economic data releases have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments rather than crisis-driven moves, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occur only amid acute financial stress or sharp downturns. Traders price in this consensus given solid GDP trends and forward guidance projecting a steady rate path. A sudden recession trigger, major banking sector disruption, or severe external shock could still alter the outlook and increase the odds of expedited action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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