The market-implied odds of 90.5 percent against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and persistent inflation pressures that keep the FOMC on hold at its scheduled meetings. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent following the April 2026 decision and April CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy shocks, traders see no immediate crisis requiring unscheduled action. Solid April payrolls of 115,000 jobs and an unemployment rate near 4.4 percent further anchor the consensus that monetary policy will adjust only through regular policy reviews. That said, a sharp labor-market deterioration or severe escalation in geopolitical energy costs could still prompt an emergency move if downside risks materialize faster than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 90.5 percent against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and persistent inflation pressures that keep the FOMC on hold at its scheduled meetings. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent following the April 2026 decision and April CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy shocks, traders see no immediate crisis requiring unscheduled action. Solid April payrolls of 115,000 jobs and an unemployment rate near 4.4 percent further anchor the consensus that monetary policy will adjust only through regular policy reviews. That said, a sharp labor-market deterioration or severe escalation in geopolitical energy costs could still prompt an emergency move if downside risks materialize faster than anticipated.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,161終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 90.5 percent against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and persistent inflation pressures that keep the FOMC on hold at its scheduled meetings. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent following the April 2026 decision and April CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy shocks, traders see no immediate crisis requiring unscheduled action. Solid April payrolls of 115,000 jobs and an unemployment rate near 4.4 percent further anchor the consensus that monetary policy will adjust only through regular policy reviews. That said, a sharp labor-market deterioration or severe escalation in geopolitical energy costs could still prompt an emergency move if downside risks materialize faster than anticipated.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,161終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market-implied odds of 90.5 percent against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and persistent inflation pressures that keep the FOMC on hold at its scheduled meetings. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent following the April 2026 decision and April CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy shocks, traders see no immediate crisis requiring unscheduled action. Solid April payrolls of 115,000 jobs and an unemployment rate near 4.4 percent further anchor the consensus that monetary policy will adjust only through regular policy reviews. That said, a sharp labor-market deterioration or severe escalation in geopolitical energy costs could still prompt an emergency move if downside risks materialize faster than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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