**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
102～103°F 100.0%
91°F以下 <1%
92～93°F <1%
94～95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
2026/08/15
91°F以下
いいえ
92～93°F
いいえ
94～95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100〜101°F
いいえ
102～103°F
はい
104〜105°F
いいえ
106～107°F
いいえ
108〜109°F
いいえ
華氏110度以上
いいえ
102～103°F 100.0%
91°F以下 <1%
92～93°F <1%
94～95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
2026/08/15
91°F以下
$193 Vol.
いいえ
92～93°F
$295 Vol.
いいえ
94～95°F
$752 Vol.
いいえ
96〜97°F
$2,504 Vol.
いいえ
98〜99°F
$3,392 Vol.
いいえ
100〜101°F
$5,935 Vol.
いいえ
102～103°F
$4,505 Vol.
はい
104〜105°F
$1,367 Vol.
いいえ
106～107°F
$1,148 Vol.
いいえ
108〜109°F
$777 Vol.
いいえ
華氏110度以上
$534 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$21,402終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$21,402終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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