Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, point to a high near 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal heating from strong subtropical high pressure, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation, with historical averages near 96–98°F. Recent model consensus shows no incoming cold front or widespread convection to moderate temperatures, keeping outcomes above 102°F at lower odds while limiting downside risk below 98°F. Traders are weighting these official guidance updates and typical August heat indices heavily as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
100〜101°F 55%
102～103°F 17%
98〜99°F 16%
96〜97°F 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
91°F以下
<1%
92～93°F
<1%
94～95°F
1%
96〜97°F
4%
98〜99°F
16%
100〜101°F
55%
102～103°F
17%
104〜105°F
4%
106～107°F
<1%
108〜109°F
<1%
華氏110度以上
<1%
100〜101°F 55%
102～103°F 17%
98〜99°F 16%
96〜97°F 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
91°F以下
$193 Vol.
<1%
92～93°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$336 Vol.
1%
96〜97°F
$1,240 Vol.
4%
98〜99°F
$939 Vol.
16%
100〜101°F
$1,904 Vol.
55%
102～103°F
$531 Vol.
17%
104〜105°F
$176 Vol.
4%
106～107°F
$81 Vol.
<1%
108〜109°F
$390 Vol.
<1%
華氏110度以上
$519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, point to a high near 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal heating from strong subtropical high pressure, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation, with historical averages near 96–98°F. Recent model consensus shows no incoming cold front or widespread convection to moderate temperatures, keeping outcomes above 102°F at lower odds while limiting downside risk below 98°F. Traders are weighting these official guidance updates and typical August heat indices heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$6,572終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, point to a high near 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal heating from strong subtropical high pressure, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation, with historical averages near 96–98°F. Recent model consensus shows no incoming cold front or widespread convection to moderate temperatures, keeping outcomes above 102°F at lower odds while limiting downside risk below 98°F. Traders are weighting these official guidance updates and typical August heat indices heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,572終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, point to a high near 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal heating from strong subtropical high pressure, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation, with historical averages near 96–98°F. Recent model consensus shows no incoming cold front or widespread convection to moderate temperatures, keeping outcomes above 102°F at lower odds while limiting downside risk below 98°F. Traders are weighting these official guidance updates and typical August heat indices heavily as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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