Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a peak near 21°C in Helsinki on June 20, driven by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 25.5% and 22°C at 18.5%—slightly above the latest model consensus, reflecting trader caution around potential warmer advection or clearer skies that could add 1–2°C. June climatology centers on 19–20°C highs with high day-to-day variability from Baltic Sea influences and frontal passages, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Key upcoming updates include the next FMI and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 20?
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 14%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 14%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 18, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a peak near 21°C in Helsinki on June 20, driven by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 25.5% and 22°C at 18.5%—slightly above the latest model consensus, reflecting trader caution around potential warmer advection or clearer skies that could add 1–2°C. June climatology centers on 19–20°C highs with high day-to-day variability from Baltic Sea influences and frontal passages, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Key upcoming updates include the next FMI and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer conditions and resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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