**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 26°C or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Jinan on August 9, 2026, reflecting robust model agreement and ongoing heat-wave conditions across northern China.** Recent forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather project highs of 32–36°C, consistent with a persistent heat event in Shandong province where the China Meteorological Administration issued orange warnings for temperatures reaching 37–39°C in northern Jinan areas. August climatology supports this pattern, with average highs near 30–33°C and frequent exceedances of 35°C during peak summer. Ensemble models show minimal spread for this 24-hour window, placing the outcome well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited: an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or a late-arriving cold front could lower readings, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely. Market-implied odds align closely with this scientific consensus from official monitoring agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 26°C or higher (99.4% implied probability) for Jinan on August 9, 2026, reflecting robust model agreement and ongoing heat-wave conditions across northern China.** Recent forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather project highs of 32–36°C, consistent with a persistent heat event in Shandong province where the China Meteorological Administration issued orange warnings for temperatures reaching 37–39°C in northern Jinan areas. August climatology supports this pattern, with average highs near 30–33°C and frequent exceedances of 35°C during peak summer. Ensemble models show minimal spread for this 24-hour window, placing the outcome well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited: an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or a late-arriving cold front could lower readings, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely. Market-implied odds align closely with this scientific consensus from official monitoring agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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