Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月22日のロンドンの最高気温は？
5月22日のロンドンの最高気温は？
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
新規
$15,034 Vol.
新規
$15,034 Vol.
2026/05/22
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30℃以上
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
新規
$15,034 Vol.
新規
$15,034 Vol.
2026/05/22
20°C or below
$861 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,365 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,063 Vol.
1%
23°C
$752 Vol.
1%
24°C
$953 Vol.
4%
25°C
$964 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,243 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,394 Vol.
36%
28°C
$1,697 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,091 Vol.
5%
30℃以上
$1,728 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$15,034終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,034終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問