Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 22?
37°C 39%
36°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
16%
36°C
33%
37°C
39%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
29°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,068 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,128 Vol.
3%
35°C
$169 Vol.
16%
36°C
$203 Vol.
33%
37°C
$253 Vol.
39%
38°C
$60 Vol.
11%
39°C or higher
$403 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
音量
$3,747終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,747終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETRecent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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