National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月22日のマイアミの最高気温は?
88〜89°F 43%
86〜87°F 33%
90~91°F 18%
84〜85°F 12%
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
3%
84〜85°F
12%
86〜87°F
33%
88〜89°F
43%
90~91°F
18%
92〜93°F
3%
94〜95°F
2%
96°F以上
1%
88〜89°F 43%
86〜87°F 33%
90~91°F 18%
84〜85°F 12%
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
3%
84〜85°F
12%
86〜87°F
33%
88〜89°F
43%
90~91°F
18%
92〜93°F
3%
94〜95°F
2%
96°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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