Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models indicate a peak temperature in Munich on July 27 most likely between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and weak northwesterly flow. These outcomes sit near the city's mid-July climatological average of 23–24°C, with differentiation among brackets driven by small shifts in daytime maximum timing, urban heat island contributions at official measurement sites, and any late-day convective development. Trader positioning remains closely balanced because short-range model runs continue to converge on this narrow band while longer-range guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of a possible frontal passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
25°C 32%
26°C 32%
27°C 19%
24°C 16%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
19%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 32%
27°C 19%
24°C 16%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
19%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models indicate a peak temperature in Munich on July 27 most likely between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and weak northwesterly flow. These outcomes sit near the city's mid-July climatological average of 23–24°C, with differentiation among brackets driven by small shifts in daytime maximum timing, urban heat island contributions at official measurement sites, and any late-day convective development. Trader positioning remains closely balanced because short-range model runs continue to converge on this narrow band while longer-range guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of a possible frontal passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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