Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月16日のパリの最高気温は？
7月16日のパリの最高気温は？
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/16
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
38%
33°C
24%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/16
29°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
30°C
$224 Vol.
3%
31°C
$514 Vol.
26%
32°C
$490 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,415 Vol.
24%
34°C
$1,735 Vol.
10%
35°C
$377 Vol.
2%
36°C
$566 Vol.
1%
37°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,964 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$9,103終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,103終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETShort-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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