Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 4?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 4?
30°C 32%
31°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 9.6%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
32%
31°C
27%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
5%
30°C 32%
31°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 9.6%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
23°C or below
$463 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
2%
28°C
$204 Vol.
4%
29°C
$19 Vol.
10%
30°C
$337 Vol.
32%
31°C
$138 Vol.
27%
32°C
$122 Vol.
19%
33°C or higher
$23 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,344終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,344終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 26°C on July 4 under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which typically suppresses maximum temperatures through marine moderation and elevated humidity near 80%. This aligns with early-July climatology of 27–29°C averages while highlighting why 30–32°C outcomes hold elevated market-implied odds: brief clearing or warmer inland advection could allow greater solar heating and push readings higher. Numerical weather models show modest spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C versus cooler bins. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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